All publications are freely available at the “preprint” or “pdf” link next to each paper

Publications in Progress

Yang, Y., Biswas, A., Pokhrel, Y., Chen, C., Swain, D.L., Callahan, C.W., Weng, B., & Zhao, R. (submitted) “Global amplification of water whiplash revealed by terrestrial water storage.”

Callahan, C.W., Trok, J., Wilson, A., Gould, C.F., Heft-Neal, S., Burke, M., & Diffenbaugh, N.S. (revised & resubmitted) “Quantifying the contributions of climate change and adaptation to mortality from unprecedented extreme heat events.” | preprint

Callahan, C.W., Trok, J., Wilson, A., Gould, C.F., Heft-Neal, S., Diffenbaugh, N.S., & Burke, M. (revised & resubmitted) “Increasing risk of mass human heat mortality if historical weather patterns recur.” | preprint

Qiu, M., Callahan, C.W., Higuera-Mendieta, I., Rennels, L., Parthum, B., Diffenbaugh, N.S., & Burke, M. (revising) “Valuing wildfire smoke-related mortality benefits from climate mitigation.” | preprint

Burke, M., Zahid, M., Martins, M., Callahan, C.W., Avirmed, K., Wallstein, J., Lee, R., Amgalan, J., Jing, R., Heft-Neal, S., Young, R., Wilson, A., Aguilar-Gomez, S., Kiang, M., Hsiang, S., & Lobell, D. (revising) “No clear evidence society is becoming less sensitive to climate.” | preprint

Callahan, C.W., Baldwin, J.W., Jing, R., Burke, M., & Diffenbaugh, N.S. (submitted) “Large indirect economic impacts of tropical cyclones shaped by disaster response.” | preprint

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Gould, C.F., Heft-Neal, S., Heaney, A.K., Bendavid, E., Callahan, C.W., Kiang, M., Graff Zivin, J., & Burke, M. (2025) “Temperature extremes impact mortality and morbidity differently.” Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.adr3070 | link, pdf, preprint

See press coverage: Washington Post, The Hill

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2025) “Carbon majors and the scientific case for climate liability.” Nature, 10.1038/s41586-025-08751-3 | link, pdf, free-to-read online link, replication code

See press coverage: New York Times, Associated Press, Washington Post, Science, Dartmouth News

Callahan, C.W. (2025) “Present and future limits to climate change adaptation.” Nature Sustainability, 10.1038/s41893-025-01519-7 | pdf, free-to-read online link, preprint

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2023) "Persistent effect of El Niño on global economic growth." Science, 10.1126/science.adf2983 | link, pdf, free-to-read online link, replication code, preprint

See press coverage: Associated Press, Bloomberg, Grist, Vox, Axios, New Scientist, Washington Post, Dartmouth News

Op-ed we wrote for the LA Times about the paper

Callahan, C.W., Dominy, N.J., DeSilva, J.M., & Mankin, J.S. (2023) "Global warming, home runs, and the future of America's pastime." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0235.1 | link, pdf, replication code

See press coverage: Washington Post, CNN, Associated Press, Time, Guardian, Science, Gizmodo, Dartmouth News

Blog post we wrote for The Conversation about the paper

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2022) "Globally unequal effect of extreme heat on economic growth." Science Advances, 10.1126/sciadv.add3726 | link, pdf, replication code, global subnational income data

See press coverage: Bloomberg, Guardian, Nature, Carbon Brief, New Scientist, Dartmouth News

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2022) “National attribution of historical climate damages.” Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-022-03387-y | link, pdf, replication code

See press coverage: CNN, Guardian, Washington Post, Reuters, BBC, Associated Press, Dartmouth News

Website for downloading country-by-country results

Blog post we wrote for Lawfare about loss and damage and climate liability

Callahan, C.W., Chen, C., Rugenstein, M., Bloch-Johnson, J., Yang, S., & Moyer, E.J. (2021) “Robust decrease in El Niño/Southern Oscillation amplitude under long-term warming.” Nature Climate Change, 10.1038/s41558-021-01099-2 | link, pdf, replication code

Erbaugh, J.T., Callahan, C.W., Finger Higgens, R., DeSiervo, M., Bolger, D.T., Cox, M., & Howarth, R.B. (2021) “Sociotechnical stability and equilibrium.” Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 10.1016/j.cosust.2021.01.003 | link, pdf

Callahan, C.W. & Mankin, J.S. (2020) “The influence of internal climate variability on projections of synoptically driven Beijing haze.” Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1029/2020GL088548 | link, pdf

Callahan, C.W., Schnell, J.L., & Horton, D.E. (2019) “Multi-index attribution of extreme winter air quality in Beijing, China.” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2018JD029738 | link, pdf

Other Stuff

Callahan, C.W. (2025) “The rich bear their fair share of climate costs.” Nature Climate Change (News & Views), 10.1038/s41558-025-02329-7 | free-to-read online link

Mankin, J.S. & Callahan, C.W. (2022) “The scientific case for climate liability and loss and damage claims.” Lawfare | link